As for the quarterfinals, I think these will be the teams that make it, none of which should come as a surprise:
Brazil
England
Germany
Japan
Ned
Sweden
USA
I don't know who the eighth team will be but I'm certain it will come down to either Australia, Canada, or France, probably in that order. I'm hoping Australia because, well... Sam Kerr.
The semifinals are much more difficult to say. So far, from what I've seen, these are the strongest teams (in descending order):
Germany
Brazil
Japan
Tie: US, Ned
I'd love to see England make it but I'm not sure they have what it takes, due to some injuries. Still, their opening match showed a lot of potential and they have arguably the best right back in the world (Lucy Bronze), possibly the best winger in the world (Lauren Hemp), and one of the best midfielders in the world (Georgia Stanway). They're just missing one of the three best (imo) forwards in the world (Beth Mead).
Once Sam Kerr is added to the lineup, I expect Australia to become a contender, since Kerr is probably just about the best women's footballer in the world, right now. She's a scoring beast. She just hasn't played, yet, because of a mild injury sustained during training.
The US has some strong players but I'm not sure they're gelling right now, one keeps making stupid mistakes (Crystal Dunn), and another I find questionable (Andi Sullivan). Plus, they're missing one of the best, most experienced center backs in the world (Becky Sauerbrunn), one of the best midfielders in the world (Sam Mewis), as well as one of the three or four best (imo) forwards in the world (Mallory Swanson).
If you're wondering who the best forwards are, here's the shortlist, in descending order – imo:
Sam Kerr - Australia
Beth Mead - England (out)
Tie: Mallory Swanson - USA (out), Sophia Smith - USA
Vivienne Miedema - Netherlands (out)
Alexandra Popp - Germany
I'd be remiss in not mentioning Debinha, Ary, and Kerolin, all of whom have been playing really well in the NWSL and all of whom are starting for Brazil. They're also very dangerous.
But back to the US. The best players they have on the team – all of whom are some of the best in the world – and who have played in this WC so far are Sophia Smith (forward), Rose Lavelle (midfielder and best dribbler in the world), Lindsey Horan (midfielder), Julie Ertz (center back), Naomi Girma (center back), and Emily Fox (right back).
Alex Morgan, who's always championed as one of the best forwards in the history of women's football is – imo – one of the most overrated players in the history of women's football. That's not to say she doesn't have some talent; she ranks 8th all time for most goals. She's also quite fast. Her strengths, however, are that she can be good at providing crucial passes (though she doesn't have many assists) and more importantly pulls defenders away, creating space and lanes for her teammates. As for scoring, I saw a nickname for her not too long ago that I thought was funny: Offside Alex. She's also usually nowhere to be found when it comes to clutch scoring.
Conversely, Sophia Smith seems to be able to dribble through defenders on her way to scoring (I still don't know how she does it; she must have the kind of leg strength you see with NFL RBs), which she does a lot of, and Mal Swanson is the most unselfish forward I've ever seen. Last year, Morgan, Smith, and Swanson were all finalists for MVP in the NWSL. I voted for Swanson because, even though she didn't have as many goals as Morgan or Smith, she had twice as many assists as Smith and 3x as many as Morgan. Indeed, if you excluded penalty kicks (Morgan had five, Smith had three) and just looked at scoring impact (goals + assists), Swanson topped the list, playing two or three less games! If I were a manager of a soccer team, I'd much rather have a forward like Swanson, who maybe doesn't score as many goals but has nearly as many assists. That, to me, is an MVP.
FYI, Swanson is married to the Cubs' SS Dansby Swanson and Julie Ertz is married to the former Eagle and current Cardinals' TE Zack Ertz.
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